Construction in Croatia – Key Trends and Opportunities to 2023
Summary
Croatia’s construction industry regained growth momentum in 2018, with output expanding by 4.7% in real terms – up from 1.3% in 2017. Growth during the review period (2014-2018) averaged 1.4% a year, and was supported by positive developments in regional economic conditions and public and private sector investments in commercial, residential and energy infrastructure construction projects.
The industry’s output value is expected to continue to expand in real terms over the forecast period (2019-2023), driven by the government’s plans to upgrade the country’s transport infrastructure. The government plans to invest HRK9.3 billion (US$1.5 billion) in rail infrastructure by 2023. In addition, the industry’s output is expected to be supported by improvements in business confidence, which will drive investment in infrastructure, commercial, residential projects and energy infrastructure. The focus on the development of renewable energy infrastructure is also expected to drive industry growth. The government plans to invest HRK12 billion (US$1.9 billion) in renewable energy by 2030. Financial assistance from the European Union (EU) to develop the country’s overall infrastructure is also expected to support industry growth.
The industry’s output value in real terms is expected to rise at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.75% over the forecast period.
GlobalData’s “Construction in Croatia – Key Trends and Opportunities to 2023”, report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into the Croatian construction industry, including –
– The Croatian construction industry’s growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
– Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the Croatian construction industry
– Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.
Key Highlights
– GlobalData expects the infrastructure construction market to record a forecast-period CAGR of 3.29% in nominal terms, driven by the government’s plan to develop and modernize the country’s transport infrastructure. In May 2019, H Infrastruktura, the state-owned rail infrastructure operator, announced its plan to invest HRK9.3 billion (US$1.5 billion) in rail infrastructure during the period of 2019-2023.
– The European Investment Bank (EIB) invested HRK4 billion (US$639 million) in Croatia in 2018 in the transport, energy, infrastructure and social sectors. Of the total investment, HRK1.3 billion (US$202.9 million) was allocated for environmental projects, HRK901.2 million (US$143.5 million) for infrastructure projects, HRK741.4 million (US$118.1 million) for small and medium-scale projects and HRK654.8 million (US$104.3 million) for innovation.
– GlobalData expects the institutional construction market to register a forecast-period CAGR of 4.76% in nominal terms, driven by public and private sector investment in education and healthcare construction projects. In the 2019 budget, the government increased its spending of the Ministry of Science and Education by HRK499.6 million (US$79.6 million), compared to the 2018 budget spending. In 2018, three EU Fund healthcare grant agreements worth HRK175.8 million (US$28 million) was signed by the Ministry of Regional Development to develop the country’s healthcare sector.
– Forecast-period growth in the energy and utilities construction market will be driven by the government’s efforts to promote renewable energy. To reduce the country’s reliance on imported energy, cut carbon emissions and generate more electricity through renewable sources, the government is developing renewable energy infrastructure. The government aims to generate 32% of the country’s gross energy consumption through renewable sources by 2030 and 56% by 2050.
– The total construction project pipeline in Croatia – as tracked by GlobalData, and including all mega projects with a value above US$25 million – stands at HRK154.3 billion (US$24.6 billion). The pipeline, which includes all projects from pre-planning to execution, is well balanced, with 51.3% of the pipeline value being in projects in the pre-execution and execution stages as of July 2019.
Scope
This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Croatia. It provides –
– Historical (2014-2018) and forecast (2019-2023) valuations of the construction industry in Croatia, featuring details of key growth drivers.
– Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
– Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
– Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants
Reasons to buy
– Identify and evaluate market opportunities using GlobalData’s standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.
– Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.
– Understand the latest industry and market trends.
– Formulate and validate strategy using GlobalData’s critical and actionable insight.
– Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.
– Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.