Czech Republic Food and Drink Report Q3

2012-05-30
Published : May-2012

The Czech consumer outlook continues to remain extremely challenging. In light of a still weak economic outlook for the German economy, we hold to our forecast for the Czech Republic to experience lacklustre growth this year. We forecast a mere 0.1% real GDP growth this year, down from 1.7% in 2011. Weakened external demand and persistently depressed consumer sentiment, part ongoing fiscal austerity measures, will continue to impede activity.

Headline Industry Data (local currency)  2012 per capita food consumption = -0.1%; forecast to 2016 = +6.7%  2012 beer volume sales = -0.4%; forecast to 2016 = +0.16% 2012 confectionery volume sales = +2.3%; forecast to 2016 = +12.8%  2012 mass grocery retail (MGR) sales = -3.1%; forecast to 2016 = +5.1% Key Company Trends Molson Coors Acquires StarBev: In early 2012, US-Canadian brewer Molson Coors announced the acquisition of StarBev from private equity group CVC in a deal worth EUR2.65bn. StarBev operates nine breweries in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) and generated sales of approximately EUR0.7bn in 2011. The acquisition will help Molson Coors as it looks to extend sales beyond its core markets of the US, Canada and the UK as StarBev’s core markets are in CEE. The brewer plans to use StarBev, whose flagship beer is the Czech brand Staropramen, as a platform for growth and to sell its existing brands such as Carling.

Iceland Launches In Czech Republic: British frozen food retailer Iceland Foods has opened a pilot outlet in Plzen. The company, which was looking for growth opportunities in Hungary, the Czech Republic and Poland for about 18 months, aims to expand its business footprint in Eastern Europe. It opened the 2,500- square-foot store in conjunction with local franchise partner Czechfrost and it will act as a test for the market. Expansion, if it goes ahead, will not be part of a franchise arrangement as in other overseas territories.

Key Risks To Outlook Continued Slowdown In Eurozone: A more pronounced slowdown in the eurozone’s economic growth, particularly in Germany, would have a negative effect on the Czech Republic’s economic growth trajectory. Due to the high degree of trade integration with Germany, the Czech Republic’s economic recovery remains highly dependent on external demand staying elevated.

Q3 Food and Drink Report of Czech Republic

Published: May 2012         No. of Pages: 98      Price: US $ 1175                                   

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Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
SWOT Analysis . 8
Czech Republic Food Industry SWOT 8
Czech Republic Drinks Industry SWOT . 9
Czech Republic Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT . 10
Business Environment .. 11
BMI’s Core Global Industry Views … 11
Table: BMI’s Core Views . 21
CEE Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings . 22
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Ratings, Q312 (scores out of 10) … 23
Table: CEE Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings, Q312 .. 26
Czech Republic’s Food & Drink Risk/Reward Rating … 26
Macroeconomic Outlook … 27
Table: Czech Republic Economic Activity, 2011-2016 29
Industry Forecast Scenario … 30
Consumer Outlook 30
Food.. 32
Food Consumption … 32
Table: Food Consumption Indicators, 2009-2016 … 33
Table: Meat, 2009-2016… 33
Table: Pasta, 2009-2016 .. 34
Confectionery… 36
Table: Confectionary Sales, 2009-2016 … 37
Table: Jams And Jellies, 2009-2016 37
Canned Food … 38
Table: Canned Food Sales, 2009-2016 39
Dairy 39
Table: Dairy, 2009-2016 . 40
Drinks … 43
Alcoholic Drinks .. 43
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Sales, 2009-2016 … 44
Soft Drinks … 44
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, 2009-2016 45
Hot Drinks … 46
Table: Hot Drinks Sales, 2009-2016 46
Mass Grocery Retail . 47
Table: MGR Sales, 2009-2016 . 48
Trade 49
Table: Trade Indicators, 2009-2016 49
Food . 50
Key Industry Trends And Developments … 50
Some Companies Deleveraging … 50
Consolidation Gaining Pace 50
Firms Targeting Innovation . 51
Market Overview .. 51
Food Production .. 51
Leading Players … 51
Food Consumption … 53
Confectionery… 53
Canned Food … 54
Agriculture … 55
Drink 56
Key Industry Trends And Developments … 56
Molson Coors Acquires StarBev .. 56
A-B InBev Acquires Budweiser Rights . 57
Downturn Continuing To Hit Beer … 57
Taxes Affecting Growth 59
Exports Largely Behind Growth In Beer .. 59
Market Overview .. 60
Alcoholic Drinks .. 60
Beer . 60
Leading Players … 61
Non-Alcoholic Beer.. 62
Wine . 63
Spirits… 64
Soft Drinks … 64
Hot Drinks … 65
Mass Grocery Retail … 67
Key Industry Trends And Developments … 67
Iceland Launches In Czech Republic … 67
Tesco Rolls Out First Central European Online Shopping Service .. 67
Suppliers Stop Deliveries . 68
Discount Stores Outperforming … 68
New Players Emerging 69
Consolidation Continuing 69
Multinationals Continuing To Launch Stores And New Services . 70
Market Overview .. 70
Leading Retailers . 71
Table: Structure Of The MGR Market By Number Of Outlets, 2004-2011… 73
Table: Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type, 2011 And 2021 (% of total) . 73
Table: Structure Of The MGR Market By Value, 2004-2011 … 74
Table: Value Sales Per Outlet, 2011e .. 74
Competitive Landscape . 75
Table: Key Players In The Czech Food Industry.. 75
Table: Key Players In The Czech Drinks Industry … 76
Table: Key Players In The Czech MGR Industry . 77
Company Profiles … 78
Food.. 78
Nestlé ?esko 78
Madeta . 79
Hamé … 80
Drink . 81
Plzensky Prazdroj 81
Budejovicky Budvar . 83
Karlovarske Mineralni Vody (KMV) 84
Kofola .. 85
Mass Grocery Retail . 86
Ahold Czech Republic .. 86
Tesco Stores ?R … 87
Lidl & Schwarz 89
Rewe 90
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology .. 92
Table: Rewards 92
Table: Risks . 93
Weighting .. 93
Table: Weighting . 93
BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary .. 94
Food & Drink … 94
Mass Grocery Retail . 94
BMI Food & Drink Forecasting & Sourcing 95
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts … 95
Sourcing … 97Table: BMI’s Core Views . 21
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Ratings, Q312 (scores out of 10) . 23
Table: CEE Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings, Q312 . 26
Table: Czech Republic Economic Activity, 2011-2016 . 29
Table: Food Consumption Indicators, 2009-2016 . 33
Table: Meat, 2009-2016. 33
Table: Pasta, 2009-2016 . 34
Table: Confectionary Sales, 2009-2016 . 37
Table: Jams And Jellies, 2009-2016 . 37
Table: Canned Food Sales, 2009-2016 . 39
Table: Dairy, 2009-2016 . 40
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Sales, 2009-2016 . 44
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, 2009-2016 . 45
Table: Hot Drinks Sales, 2009-2016 . 46
Table: MGR Sales, 2009-2016 . 48
Table: Trade Indicators, 2009-2016 . 49
Table: Structure Of The MGR Market By Number Of Outlets, 2004-2011. 73
Table: Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type, 2011 And 2021 (% of total) . 73
Table: Structure Of The MGR Market By Value, 2004-2011 . 74
Table: Value Sales Per Outlet, 2011e . 74
Table: Key Players In The Czech Food Industry. 75
Table: Key Players In The Czech Drinks Industry . 76
Table: Key Players In The Czech MGR Industry . 77
Table: Rewards . 92
Table: Risks . 93
Table: Weighting . 93

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