Organic Photovoltaics Technologies, Players and Forecasts 2012-2022

2012-05-11
Published : May-2012

IDTechEx estimate that the organic photovoltaics (OPV) market today is $4.6 million and forecast that it will rise to $ 630 million in 2022. In this report, we develop technology roadmaps or guidelines, which forecast improvements in module efficiency, lifetime and costs over the next decade. They provide a practical insight into how the technology is likely to evolve. We also assess the merits of OPV technologies for a diverse range of market segments, including automotive, posters and point-of-purchase (PoP) advertisement, apparel, customer electronics, off-grid applications for the developing world, power generation, and building integrated photovoltaics.

The photovoltaic (PV) market has been both booming for the past few years yet also remains an extremely volatile sector for suppliers. In 2011 alone, the total global installed capacity was 22 GW. Currently, crystalline silicon devices control 85% of market, with the remainder being captured by a range of thin film PV devices including CdTe, CIGS, and a-Si. Margins are increasingly tight for on-grid technologies.

Now there is a third-wave of PV technologies entering the market. This wave consists of dye sensitised solar cells (DSSC) and organic photovoltaics (OPV). In this report, we provide a detailed assessment of the technology and markets for OPVs, which are being used where conventional PV cannot go, changing the value-added opportunity.

OPVs bring the following attributes to the market: (a) excellent form factor, (b) good performance under indoor lighting conditions, (c) low capital expenditure, and (d) potentially very low energy production costs using printable plastics. Based on these value propositions, OPVs will not only target existing markets, but will also enable new ones, which existing solutions may not have been able to address.

Not all is well with OPVs, however. The efficiency levels are low, despite the fact that the active semiconductor can be synthesised from many different molecular and polymeric materials. The lifetime is in the order of days if the device is exposed to ambient conditions and existing commercial encapsulants can extend it only to 2-3 years. The constituent materials are still in low-volume production and therefore command high prices.

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Report Details:

Published: May 2012
No. of Pages: 138

Price: US$3995

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List of Tables

1.1. Technical performance of different PV technologies. Printability and flexibility are assessed on a scale of 1-10; with 10 being the most printable and/or flexible.
1.2. Merits of different PV technologies
1.3. Energy generation costs
1.4. Selling points of organic photovoltaics
1.5. Target markets of OPV and assessing the suitability of OPVs for each segment
1.6. Forecast for the number of units involved in each application
2.1. Work functions of commonly-used materials
3.1. Efficiency roadmap
3.2. Options for acceptor materials
3.3. Options for donor materials
3.4. Outlining the HOMO and LUMO levels of common organic semiconductors
3.5. Required technical specification
3.6. Performance limits of various flexible substrates
3.7. Summary of barrier development results
3.8. Roadmap of OPV device lifetimes
3.9. Substrate price points
3.10. PEDOT:PSS prices
3.11. IDTechEx approximate price points for P3HT and PCBM
3.12. IDTechEx estimate cost breakdown by layer
3.13. IDTechEx estimate of equipment and other costs
3.14. OPV selling points are not unique
3.15. Attributes of different PV technologies
3.16. Benefits, efficiency and challenges of different PV technologies
3.17. Leading players’ interview highlights
3.18. IDTechEx comments on OPV applications
3.19. Electronics in apparel (bags, clothing sportswear, military, emergency etc.)
3.20. IDTechEx comment on electronics in apparel
3.21. PV in Vehicles
3.22. IDTechEx comment on PV in vehicles
3.23. Consumer Electronics
3.24. IDTechEx comment on mobile devices and other portable/disposable electronics
3.25. Building Integrated Photovoltaics
3.26. IDTechEx comment on Building Integrated Photovoltaics
3.27. Market forecast 2012-2020 in US $
3.28. Forecast for the number of units involved in each application

 

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