Published : Oct-2017
No. of Pages : 65
1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2
1.1. Different local factors drive the growth of the global wealth market 2
1.2. Key findings 2
1.3. Critical success factors 2
2. SIZING AND FORECASTING THE GLOBAL WEALTH MARKET 8
2.1. The global wealth market is on a continuous growth path 8
2.1.1. Globally, the affluent market is worth more than $92tn 8
2.1.2. HNW individuals will hold more than $51tn in liquid assets by the end of 2021 9
2.1.3. The global affluent population totals 310 million individuals and continues to grow 10
2.1.4. The wealthiest will grow their assets at an even faster rate 12
2.2. Global retail savings and investment trends 13
2.2.1. Steady growth for equities and mutual fund holdings, but on a slowing trend 13
2.2.2. Bond holdings have been decreasing 14
2.2.3. For HNW individuals, less liquid asset classes play an important role 14
2.3. Retail savings and investments geographical analysis 16
2.3.1. Attitudes towards deposits differ clearly between mature and emerging markets 17
2.3.2. US investors hold over three times more equities and mutual funds than the developing markets average 20
2.3.3. Bond holdings are significantly affected by yields 21
2.4. Offshore holdings represent a significant proportion of global wealth 23
2.4.2. Motivations for offshoring wealth differ by country 25
3. REGIONAL WEALTH MARKETS GROWTH ANALYSIS 27
3.1. Global wealth is distributed unequally 27
3.1.1. HNW individuals hold a third of global wealth 27
3.1.2. The mass affluent segment is more important in developed markets 28
3.1.3. Inequality in wealth distribution is higher in frontier markets 29
3.2. The gap between mature and developing markets will shrink 29
3.2.1. Cambodia will be the fastest-growing wealth market over 2017-21 29
3.2.2. Latin America will be the fastest-growing region 31
3.2.3. Developing markets' impressive growth is offset by inflation 33
3.2.4. Exchange rate fluctuations affect the relative strength of wealth markets 37
4. THE GLOBAL WEALTH MARKETS RANKINGS 39
4.1. The US will remain by far the biggest wealth market in aggregate terms 39
4.1.1. China ranks second, although developed markets still dominate the top 15 39
4.1.2. HNW segment rankings highlight the growth of Asia Pacific 41
4.2. Liquid assets per capita analysis 44
4.2.1. By 2021 the average Hong Kong citizen will be wealthier than their Swiss counterparts 44
4.2.2. Large emerging markets' rankings highlight unequal wealth distribution 45
5. APPENDIX 48
5.1. Abbreviations and acronyms 48
5.2. Supplementary data 49
5.3. Coverage 52
5.3.1. Country classification 54
5.4. Definitions 55
5.4.1. AAGR 55
5.4.2. Affluent 55
5.4.1. Averages 55
5.4.2. CAGR 55
5.4.3. Developed (mature) economies or markets 55
5.4.4. Developing economies or markets 55
5.4.5. Emerging affluent 56
5.4.6. Emerging economies or markets 56
5.4.7. Frontier economies or markets 56
5.4.8. HNW 56
5.4.9. Individual 56
5.4.10. Liquid assets 56
5.4.11. Mass affluent 57
5.4.12. Mass market 57
5.4.13. Non-affluent market 57
5.4.14. Onshore 57
5.5. Methodology 57
5.5.1. 2017 Global Wealth Managers Survey 58
5.5.2. 2016 Global Wealth Managers Survey 58
5.5.3. Global Wealth Model methodology 58
5.5.4. Retail Investments Database Methodology 59
5.5.5. Exchange rates 60
5.6. Bibliography 63
5.7. Further reading 64
List of Tables
Table 1: Global total liquid assets ($bn), end of year 2014-21f 10
Table 2: Global number of affluent individuals (thousands), end of year 2014-21f 11
Table 3: Global total retail savings and investments, end of year 2014-21f 14
Table 4: Top 10 countries in terms of deposit allocations (%) as of 2016, with results for 2011 and projections for 2021 18
Table 5: Top 10 developed countries in terms of deposit allocations (%) as of 2016, with results for 2011 and projections for 2021 19
Table 6: Top 10 countries in terms of equities and mutual funds allocations (aggregate %) as of 2016, with results for 2011 and projections for 2021 21
Table 7: Top 10 countries in terms of bonds allocations (%) as of 2016, with results for 2011 and projections for 2021 23
Table 8: Retail non-resident savings and investments in selected markets ($bn), 2016 24
Table 9: Top 10 (and selected) global wealth markets in terms of forecast CAGR, 2017-21 30
Table 10: Top five (and selected) global wealth markets in terms of forecast real CAGR, 2017-21 34
Table 11: Countries with the highest and lowest CPI rate over 2012-16 36
Table 12: Top 15 wealth markets in terms of liquid assets ($bn) 2011, 2016, and 2021f 40
Table 13: Top 15 wealth markets in terms of HNW liquid assets ($bn) 2011, 2016, and 2021f 42
Table 14: Top 5 developing markets by liquid assets per capita, 2016 46
Table 15: Top 5 developing markets by aggregate liquid assets, 2016 46
Table 16: Global total liquid assets ($bn), end of year 2007-13 49
Table 17: Global number of affluent individuals (thousands), end of year 2007-13 50
Table 18: Global total retail savings and investments, end of year 2007-13 51
Table 19: Our geographic coverage spans 71 markets and six regions 53
Table 20: Country classification in terms of level of market development 54
Table 21: US dollar exchange rates 61
List of Figures
Figure 1: HNW global onshore liquid assets have been growing steadily 9
Figure 2: The $10m+ segment is set to experience the highest growth over the next few years 12
Figure 3: Deposits make up for almost 50% of global investors' holdings 13
Figure 4: HNW investors hold over 15% of their portfolios in alternative asset classes 15
Figure 5: North Americans' risk aversion will drive non-liquid investments 16
Figure 6: Central and Eastern European markets rely the most on deposit allocations 17
Figure 7: Mature market average deposit holdings are below the global midpoint 19
Figure 8: Developing markets still have relatively low allocations in equities and funds 20
Figure 9: Bond allocations differ only slightly across different regions 22
Figure 10: UAE residents offshore over half of their wealth 25
Figure 11: Geographic diversification is the most important driver of offshore investments 26
Figure 12: The wealthiest 8% of the global population hold almost 92% of the world's liquid assets 28
Figure 13: Mass affluent individuals represent over 30% of the population in developed markets 28
Figure 14: In frontier markets, most wealth is in the hands of the few 29
Figure 15: Developing markets will continue to grow faster than mature economies 31
Figure 16: Japan's forecast growth is well behind the global average 32
Figure 17: Western Europe will struggle the most with growth in the foreseeable future 33
Figure 18: In real terms, frontier markets' growth over 2017-21 will still largely exceed that of mature economies 35
Figure 19: In real terms, Asia Pacific's wealth market has been growing much faster than other regions 37
Figure 20: Exchange rate volatility provides a different picture of the UK wealth market 38
Figure 21: Kazakhstan is one of the fastest-growing wealth markets 41
Figure 22: Argentina has been improving its HNW liquid assets ranking 43
Figure 23: Top 10 markets in terms of onshore liquid asset holdings per individual ($), 2016 45
Figure 24: India will improve its rank position in terms of liquid assets per capita 47
Figure 25: Our geographic coverage spans 71 markets and six regions 52
