Report Summary
This report gives detailed information on the Ukraine power market and assesses the investment opportunities in the country’s power sector. This includes a detailed analysis of the current investment climate in the country’s power sector and over the next decade across 6 broad parameters. Each parameter has a weight assigned, and a weighted average score is calculated to obtain the final country ranking in that region. The study also maps the relative ranking of the key countries in the region according to the current investment opportunities in the country and that by 2020. This report also examines the country’s power market structure and provides historical and forecast numbers for generation, capacity and consumption up to 2030. Detailed analysis of the market’s regulatory structure, supply and demand balance, import and export trends, competitive landscape and power projects at various stages of the supply chain is provided.
Scope
- Analysis of the current investment climate in the country’s power sector across six parameters and over the next decade
- Relative ranking of the key country’s in the region according to the current investment opportunities in the country and that by 2020.
- Statistics for installed capacity, power generation and consumption from 2000 to 2010, forecast forward 19 years to 2030
- Break-up by technology, including thermal, hydro, renewable and nuclear
- Data on key current and upcoming projects
- Information on grid interconnectivity, distribution losses and power exports and imports
- Policy and regulatory framework governing the market
- Detailed analysis of top market participant, including market share analysis and SWOT analysis
- Data sourced from proprietary databases and primary interviews with key participants across the value chain
Ukraine Power Market Outlook
Published: January 2012
Price: Single User License – US$ 1500 Corporate User License US$ 4500
Table of Contents
1 Table of Contents 2
1.1 List of Tables 6
1.2 List of Figures 7
2 Executive Summary 8
2.1 Thermal Power is the Dominant Source in the Power Mix 8
2.2 Continued Growth in Power Generation 8
2.3 Focus on Clean Energy Sources for Future Demand 9
3 Introduction 10
3.1 GlobalData Report Guidance 11
4 Business Propensity Indicator Methodology 12
4.1.1 Capacity and Reserve Potential 12
4.1.2 Regulatory Scenario 13
4.1.3 Investment Scenario 14
4.1.4 Transmission and Distribution (T&D) Infrastructure 16
4.1.5 Macro Economic Scenario 17
4.1.6 Competitive Scenario 18
4.2 Methodology Adopted to Arrive at a Final Rank 19
5 Ukraine, Power Market, Business Propensity Indicator 22
5.1 Ukraine, Power Market, Capacity and Reserve Potential 22
5.2 Ukraine, Power Market, Regulatory Scenario 23
5.3 Ukraine, Power Market, Investment Scenario 23
5.4 Ukraine, Power Market, Transmission and Distribution Infrastructure 24
5.5 Ukraine, Power Market, Macroeconomic Factors 24
5.6 Ukraine, Power Market, Competitive Scenario 25
5.7 Ukraine, Power Market, Conclusion 25
5.8 Ukraine, Power Market, Business Propensity Indicator Ranking 25
5.8.1 Present Ranking 26
5.8.2 Future Ranking 26
6 Ukraine, Power Market Analysis, 2000-2030 27
6.1 Ukraine, Power Market, Demand and Consumption Scenario 27
6.2 Ukraine, Power Market, Import and Export Scenario 28
6.3 Ukraine, Power Market, Annual Power Consumption, 2000-2030 30
6.4 Ukraine, Power Market, Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2000-2030 32
6.4.1 Cumulative Installed Capacity by Type of Power Plant: Percentage 32
6.4.2 Cumulative Installed Capacity: Total Value 33
6.4.3 Cumulative Thermal Installed Capacity, 2000-2030 35
6.4.4 Cumulative Hydro Installed Capacity, 2000-2030 37
6.4.5 Cumulative Nuclear Installed Capacity, 2000-2030 39
6.4.6 Cumulative Renewable Installed Capacity, 2000-2030 41
6.5 Ukraine, Power Market, Annual Power Generation, 2000-2020 43
6.5.1 Annual Thermal Power Generation, 2000-2030 45
6.5.2 Annual Hydropower Generation, 2000-2030 47
6.5.3 Annual Nuclear Power Generation, 2000-2030 49
6.5.4 Annual Renewable Power Generation, 2000-2030 51
7 Ukraine, Power Market, Leading Active and Upcoming Projects 53
7.1 Ukraine, Power Market, Active Power Projects 53
7.1.1 Leading Thermal Power Projects 53
7.1.2 Leading Hydropower Projects 54
7.1.3 Leading Nuclear Commercial Reactors 54
7.1.4 Leading Renewable Power Projects 54
7.2 Ukraine, Power Market, Upcoming Power Projects 56
7.2.1 Leading Thermal Power Projects 56
7.2.2 Leading Hydro Power Projects 56
7.2.3 Leading Nuclear Commercial Reactors 57
7.2.4 Leading Renewable Power Projects 57
8 Ukraine, Power Market, Regulatory Structure 58
8.1 Ukraine, Power Market, Regulatory Structure Overview 58
8.1.1 Market Liberalization 58
8.1.2 Energy Efficiency 59
8.1.3 Law on Alternative Energy Sources 60
8.1.4 Feed-in Tariff Program/Green Tariff Law 60
8.1.5 Nuclear Policy 61
9 Ukraine, Power Market, Infrastructure 61
9.1 Ukraine, Power Market, Infrastructure Overview 61
9.1.1 Grid Interconnections 63
9.1.2 Future Development Plans 64
9.1.3 Distribution Overview 64
10 Ukraine, Power Market, Competitive Landscape: Snapshot of the Top Five Power Companies 66
10.1 Ukraine, Power Market, Market Share of the Major Power Companies 66
10.2 Key Company in the Ukraine Power Market, NNEGC Energoatom 68
10.2.1 NNEGC Energoatom, Company Overview 68
10.2.2 NNEGC Energoatom, Business Description 68
10.2.3 NNEGC Energoatom, SWOT Analysis 68
10.3 Key Company in the Ukraine Power Market, JSC Dniproenergo 73
10.3.1 JSC Dniproenergo, Company Overview 73
10.3.2 JSC Dniproenergo, Business Description 73
10.3.3 JSC Dniproenergo, SWOT Analysis 73
10.4 Key Company in the Ukraine Power Market, JSC Centrenergo 79
10.4.1 JSC Centrenergo, Company Overview 79
10.4.2 JSC Centrenergo, Business Description 79
10.4.3 JSC Centrenergo, SWOT Analysis 79
10.5 Key Company in the Ukraine Power Market, Zakhidenergo Joint Stock Co 83
10.5.1 Zakhidenergo Joint Stock Co, Company Overview 83
10.5.2 Zakhidenergo Joint Stock Co, Business Description 83
10.5.3 Zakhidenergo Joint Stock Co, SWOT Analysis 83
11 Appendix 88
11.1 Market Definitions 88
11.1.1 Power 88
11.1.2 Installed Capacity 88
11.1.3 Active Installed Capacity 88
11.1.4 Electricity Generation 88
11.1.5 Thermal Power 88
11.1.6 Hydro Power 88
11.1.7 Nuclear Power 88
11.1.8 Renewable Energy Resources 88
11.1.9 Generation Company 88
11.1.10 Electricity consumption 88
11.1.11 Transmission network 89
11.1.12 Interconnector 89
11.1.13 Transmission and distribution loss 89
11.1.14 Interconnector 89
11.1.15 Transmission and distribution loss 89
11.2 Abbreviations 89
11.3 GlobalData’s Methodology 90
11.3.1 Coverage 90
11.3.2 Secondary Research 90
11.3.3 Primary Research 90
11.3.4 Modeling and Forecasting 91
11.4 Contact Us 91
11.5 Disclaimer 91
List of Tables
Table 1: Ease of Doing Business-Categories and Subcategories 15
Table 2: Scoring Methodology for the Parameters 20
Table 3: Best Score for Present and Future Scenario 21
Table 4: Power Market, Ukraine, Breakdown of Electricity Consumption, by Sector (%), 2010 28
Table 5: Power Market, Ukraine, Total Annual Imports and Exports (GWh), 2000-2010 29
Table 6: Power Market, Ukraine, Annual Power Consumption (GWh), 2000-2030 31
Table 7: Power Market, Ukraine, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Type of Power Plant (%), 2011 32
Table 8: Power Market, Ukraine, Cumulative Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 34
Table 9: Power Market, Ukraine, Cumulative Thermal Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 36
Table 10: Power Market, Ukraine, Cumulative Hydro Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 38
Table 11: Power Market, Ukraine, Cumulative Nuclear Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 40
Table 12: Power Market, Ukraine, Cumulative Renewable Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 42
Table 13: Power Market, Ukraine, Annual Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 44
Table 14: Power Market, Ukraine, Annual Thermal Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2020 46
Table 15: Power Market, Ukraine, Annual Hydropower Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 48
Table 16: Power Market, Ukraine, Annual Nuclear Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 50
Table 17: Power Market, Ukraine, Annual Renewable Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 52
Table 18: Power Market, Ukraine, Leading Active Thermal Power Projects (MW), 2011 53
Table 19: Power Market, Ukraine, Leading Hydro Power Projects (MW), 2011 54
Table 20: Power Market, Ukraine, Leading Active Nuclear Commercial Reactors (MW), 2011 54
Table 21: Power Market, Ukraine, Leading Active Renewable Power Projects (MW), 2011 55
Table 22: Power Market, Ukraine, Leading Upcoming Thermal Power Projects (MW), 2011 56
Table 23: Power Market, Ukraine, Leading Upcoming Hydropower Projects (MW), 2011 56
Table 24: Power Market, Ukraine, Leading Upcoming Nuclear Power Projects (MW), 2011 57
Table 25: Power Market, Ukraine, Leading Upcoming Renewable Power Projects (MW), 2011 57
Table 26: Power Market, Ukraine, Share of state-owned stakes authorized to be sold 59
Table 27: Power Market, Ukraine, Transmission Line Length (Ckm), 2000- 2010 63
Table 28: Power Market, Ukraine, Distribution Line Length (Ckm), 2000- 2020 65
Table 29: Power Market, Ukraine, Installed Capacity Share of Major Power Companies (%), 2010 67
Table 30: NNEGC Energoatom, SWOT Analysis 69
Table 31: JSC Dniproenergo, SWOT Analysis 74
Table 32: JSC Centrenergo, SWOT Analysis 79
Table 33: Zakhidenergo Joint Stock Co, SWOT Analysis 84
Table 34: Abbreviations 89
List of Figures
Figure 1: Power Market, Ukraine, Thermal Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2011 8
Figure 2: Power Market, Ukraine, Annual Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2011 9
Figure 3: Weights Assigned to the Six Factors (%), 2000-2020 19
Figure 4: Power Market, Ukraine, Business Propensity Indicator 22
Figure 5: Power Market, Ukraine, Business Propensity Indicator Ranking 26
Figure 6: Power Market, Ukraine, Breakdown of Electricity Consumption, by Sector (%), 2010 27
Figure 7: Power Market, Ukraine, Total Annual Imports and Exports (GWh), 2000-2010 29
Figure 8: Power Market, Ukraine, Annual Power Consumption (GWh), 2000-2030 30
Figure 9: Power Market, Ukraine, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Type of Power Plant (%), 2011 32
Figure 10: Power Market, Ukraine, Cumulative Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 33
Figure 11: Power Market, Ukraine, Cumulative Thermal Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 35
Figure 12: Power Market, Ukraine, Cumulative Hydro Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 37
Figure 13: Power Market, Ukraine, Cumulative Nuclear Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 39
Figure 14: Power Market, Ukraine, Cumulative Renewable Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 41
Figure 15: Power Market, Ukraine, Annual Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 43
Figure 16: Power Market, Ukraine, Annual Thermal Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2020 45
Figure 17: Power Market, Ukraine, Annual Hydropower Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 47
Figure 18: Power Market, Ukraine, Annual Nuclear Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 49
Figure 19: Power Market, Ukraine, Annual Renewable Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 51
Figure 20: Power Market, Ukraine, Installed Capacity Share of Major Power Companies (%), 2010 66
